Skip to main content

The Practical side of Coronavirus

Are you in fear or, worried with the increasing no of COVID cases in last 10 days? That's normal. Most of us are. This is because we generally see a fragment and derive conclusion instead of analyzing the complete picture.

The no of cases in India is roughly around 80k including 2500 deaths. 10 days ago, it was 40k cases. On an average cases have increased from 2000 cases per day to 4000 cases per day. So, cases are increasing very rapidly , right?. Yes it is true but it's not the complete picture. Actually, the no of tests have increased drastically. Say if there were 10k tests performed per day 10 days back, today around 1lac tests are done daily and so is the increase in the no of cases. This fact is not discussed anywhere on TV, or in media. So actually neither the cases are increasing not the virus is spreading the way it looks like.

Let's do a simple math. If out of 10 lac tests, 40k positive cases were there and after 20 lac tests 80k cases are there that is roughly 4 percent.

Actual no of cases=4%*130 Cr=5.2 Cr~5 Crore

But this calculation is also not correct since there are a no of regions that have rare or no cases at all. Let's eliminate the rural india then, say 80%.

Now, actual no of cases-1 Cr

So, this is probably the actual no of cases in India if proper amount of tests have been done based on  statistics. Also, there is no guaranteed way to stop this spread and multiply it to get to 2 Cr, 5 Cr or even 10 Crores.

Good News.
We have achieved "Herd Immunity". Herd immunity is basically the resistance to the spread of a contagious disease within a population that results if a sufficiently high population of individuals are immune to the disease.


Second relief being that the death rate is lowest in India in the entire world.

We will talk more about herd immunity and why the death rate is lowest in India in the upcoming blog.

Do let me know your perspective on the problem. Also, what other subjects should I talk about in the upcoming blogs.

Till then, Stay safe. Stay healthy and happy!

Comments

  1. UnknownMay 19, 2020 at 7:18 AM

    If we go acc to this then also 1 cr. Is a lot more number and is considerably risky and a thing worrying about . Till we are got gettinf any vaccine for it , having fear of getting COVID will always be there.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Shekhar's ArenaMay 20, 2020 at 5:54 AM

      That's true. But still being aware is better than being worried.

      Delete
  2. NeelanjayMay 19, 2020 at 9:20 AM

    The issue with Indians is not the spread of Corona but rather is the spread of fake news
    I think you should cover this fake news propaganda on WhatsApp in your next blog

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Shekhar's ArenaMay 20, 2020 at 5:55 AM

      This was already discussed in a previous blog. Read that one.

      Delete
  3. UnknownMay 19, 2020 at 11:29 AM

    This was informative ! And, actually what the country needs to know for now and keep calm & attentive to the scenario going on .

    ReplyDelete
  4. Nishant Singh UjjainMay 25, 2020 at 6:19 AM

    Same assumption & thoughts in my mind also... Only thing we need to do is taking precautions, maintaing hygiene & habit of wearing mask while going anywhere till vaccine comes.

    ReplyDelete
  5. I love petsJune 9, 2020 at 7:36 AM

    Nicee ... Writing

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Adheen-The Dependent | Not a Movie Review

"Ice, that is brittle can be shattered, while water flows and adapts" . This means 'टूटता कठोर है ,कोमल नहीं'. Have you ever thought why most of our parents want us to guide throughout our childhood and teenage till the time we stand on our feet? Think about this and let  me know in comments. Vacations and Parents I think dependency is a relative term, you may be dependent on someone in one context, independent in other. To all the people living away from their homes, please respond on these two questions? 1. When was the last time you visited your home? Here, home means the place where your parents live. 2. If you visited in last 6 months, did you sit still with them and talked about how life is going, what problems are they facing, are there any health issues or anything else without peeping in your phone? You think they are fine, but wait they are not. Adheen, a short film directed by Yash Verma talks about these intricacies. Rajendra(Sanjay Mishra) fre...
21 comments
Read more

Solitude and Loneliness

Don't you think the root cause of most of our problems is the underlying loneliness that most of us experience in our daily lives today. Let's analyse what is the reason behind and derive some practical solution to this. Basically there are two situations i.e, loneliness and Solitude. In loneliness, you are alone and worried about having no one by your side while solitude is experiencing a whole new world when you are alone. You experience happiness when you are alone. You don't need a second person to be happy. The root cause of our emptiness is that our foundation for living is based on lies. We are stuck in the loop of lie spread by ourselves only and continue exhibiting dual personality. Actually we try to complete our emptiness through other things, actions and relationships (people)- don't we? As a consequence, we become more dependable on those things, actions or people. This dependency could be at physical, psychological, financial or even at mental level....
33 comments
Read more

Bihar and the Education System | Bihar mein bahar h

He was completely demoralized, analysing where did he go wrong. Was his preparation not apt enough to crack the interview? Didn't he had the technical knowledge, the profile required- all this was whirling in his head, while he sat in disguise with a cup of tea. Welcome back to Shekhar Arena!  Hope you are doing fine. Today, I will tell you a story- a story of our friends, students and the teachers! There is this friend of mine who was attending an Off-Campus placement drive of a reputed MNC. He did his graduation in computer applications from a renowned institute of Bihar. 6 out of 49 students cleared the aptitude test. There he met another guy about whom he said later that guy was technically sound than him. This guy did his graduation from same renowned institute, located in another city of our state. The technical round was a WhatsApp video interview and the interviewer asked scenario based questions. He was dumbstruck, didn't understand the questions well-answers of...
23 comments
Read more